Just pointing out this potential path — whether it’s the black line or the pink — the risk/reward here isn’t favorable.
I mentioned in the chat yesterday that I picked up 2-week-out Puts to play the setup.
My job is to flag these kinds of moments — where the odds tilt clearly in one direction. Whether you’re hedging longs, locking in gains, or playing outright short, everyone’s got their own jig.
sustained move through 5944 starts to make this potential less likely…
below 5890, its starts to pick up steam….
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HD are SPX system exits based on a hard stop or underlying vol?